The battle continues. Colorado Parks and Wildlife has listed Green Mountain Reservoir north of Silverthorne as “suspect” for invasive aquatic mussels.
This past spring year was particularly mettlesome for water managers seeking to balance water supplies and demand in the Upper Gunnison River Basin.
Although there currently are no shortages of water this year, the vagaries of last winter, from unseasonably warm to unseasonably cold, may hold some warning about future water forecasting for regional hydrologists, cautioned Greg Smith, Senior Hydrologist for NOAA’s Colorado River Basin Forecasting Center in Salt Lake.
The art of forecasting water supplies has as one of its main tools historical data and the rapidity of changes in the Earth’s climate recently has been handcuffing the best efforts of forecasters, said Smith during the last week’s Aspinall Unit Operations meeting in Grand Junction.
The quarterly meetings, sponsored by the Western Colorado Area Office of the Bureau of Reclamation, offer a look at what hydrologists and weather forecasters portend for future water supplies in the Upper Colorado River Basin.
“2017 was challenging,” Smith said when addressing the year’s weather. “When we go from one (weather) extreme to the other, as we have seen this year, that makes our job even more difficult.”
A pair of linked examples was the unusual warming in March, which caused some very early low-elevation melting and ensuing runoff, followed by an unseasonably cold May (“February-like temperatures,” Smith said) which drastically slowed that runoff and caused concern among water managers wondering when and if the runoff would begin anew.
All this was tied to the near-record snows of late December and January, which overwhelmed some of the region’s remote-sensing SNOTEL sites.
“Several sites quit reporting and we thought they had broken but in reality they had been completely buried by the snow,” Smith said. “In March, a lot of the sites (in the Upper Gunnison Basin) recorded their highest totals on record … some of which go back 39 years.”
Are the aberrant weather patterns of last winter just that or are they indications of a new normal that eventually will become part of the historical data?
Smith isn’t sure.
“Well, we try to use long-term records in making our (water-supply) forecasts, at least 20 years or more,” Smith said. “So even these recent weather patterns will take a while to become part of the permanent record.
“And we’re certainly aware of weather changes. Even a few degrees one way or the other affects snowmelt and eventually water supplies.”
“I’ve been rich and I’ve been poor. It’s better to be rich.” – Gertrude Stein, American novelist.
Farmers, ranchers and domestic water managers all agree with Ms. Stein when it comes to matters of water. Rich is much better than poor.
And water-rich is what the Upper Gunnison Basin finds itself this year.
So much so, the Bureau of Reclamation faces some timing decisions later this summer and fall in emptying swollen reservoirs along the Gunnison River.
“It’s going to take a lot of work” to reach the winter operating level at Blue Mesa Reservoir, said Erik Knight, lead hydrologist for the Bureau’s Western Colorado Area Office in Grand Junction.
Speaking at Thursday’s quarterly Aspinall Unit Operations meeting, Knight said the reservoir, which Saturday was 98.5 percent full with 817,000 acre feet of water, needs to reach 7,490 elevation by the end of December to avoid icing problems upstream.
The current elevation is 7,518 feet elevation.
“We’re going to be running a lot of water (through Blue Mesa) to meet the Dec. 31 deadline,” Knight said. “But right now our lower reservoirs also are full and Crystal (Dam) is at full power plant release.”
The reason anglers, recreationists and Chamber of Commerce folks have a bank-to-bank Blue Mesa is the result of the late-season storms that blanketed the Upper Gunnison Basin and a cooler-than-normal spring that delayed the runoff.
At last count, inflows into Blue Mesa this year are around 136 percent of normal, and recent rains have continued the inflows.
Also brimming are Crystal Reservoir (88 percent) and Morrow Point Reservoir (98 percent).
Knight said releases out of Crystal are around 1,900 cfs, which is the most possible without spilling the reservoir.
“We have no plans to spill Crystal,” he said.
One beneficiary of all that water is Lake Powell, which currently is 67 feet down or 62 percent full. That level is 17 feet higher than the same time last year but don’t expect Powell to fill much more this year.
Most of the water released by Upper Basin states will be passing through to Lake Mead and then downstream to the Lower Basin and Mexico.
Around 9 million acre-feet of water is expected to be released this summer, more than the 8.25-million acre feet required by the Colorado River Compact and enough to delay concerns about water shortages in Lake Mead.
The announcement Monday of the sale of Steamboat Ski Area, one of this state’s iconic (can I say that? It’s terribly over-used but in this case actually means something) ) resorts brings yet another major player into the ski biz in Colorado.
It also contributes to the rapid extinction of locally owned ski areas in the state.
The sale to the joint venture of KSL Capital Partners and an affiliate of Henry Crown and Company, along with the completion by the joint venture of the purchase of Mammoth Resorts in California, combines 12 mountain resorts, among them Winter Park, Squaw Valley, Alpine Meadows and the four Mammoth Mountain resorts plus other holdings, and an estimated 6 million annual skier visits. That’s a bunch o’ skiers, boarders and winter users.
Henry Crown and the Crown family, as you may or may not know, is the owner of Aspen Skiing Company, which includes Aspen Mountain, Aspen Highlands, Snowmass and Buttermilk. But don’t expect your Steamboat pass to get you onto Aspen slopes, at least not this winter. A report on the Steamboat website said the Aspen/Snowmass resorts and properties will remain separate from the latest dealings.
It’s not like the Steamboat or Mammoth sales were unexpected; many of the preliminary details of the pending purchases of Intrawest and Mammoth Resorts were made public in April. Nor was Steamboat sold because the resort is hurting financially or standing still in its quest to meet skiers’ wants. In fact, with an expansion planned for the Pioneer Ridge area and hopes for a new gondola into Bashor Bowl, Steamboat seems ripe for a new owner with deep pockets.
What remains are concerns as to how being owned by another aggressive investment company will affect Steamboat, meaning not only the resort but Steamboat Springs the city as well. Intrawest Resorts Holdings, Inc., the former owner of Steamboat, wouldn’t have sold had it not thought the sale would bring a profit, which is how investment funds work.
Which means more changes at Steamboat should be expected.
Last May KSL joined with Crown in plans to acquire Intrawest Resorts Holdings, Inc., Steamboat’s now-former owner and the purchase of Mammoth Resorts, the owner of Mammoth Mountain Ski Area, Snow Summit, Bear Mountain and June Mountain, all in California. Monday’s announcement finalized all the dealings.
All of which makes the whole ski world become that much more corporate.
Here is something we can’t hear often enough: Colorado Parks and Wildlife stuck a California poacher with a pile of wildlife violations and now he faces not only big-time fines but also the potential loss of his hunting and fishing privileges.
Read the press release here.
According to CPW, Kyle Odle, 29, of Menifee, Calif., not only is an egregious repeat offender (many of the charges against him include the words “multiple counts”) but a Marine veteran who falsified his status as a vet to assist in committing wildlife crimes.
After reading the litany of charges against this clown, it’s hard to figure out if there is any wildlife interest he didn’t offend. Properly licensed hunters, both resident and nonresident? Check. Vets? Check. Landowners? Check. Guides and outfits? Check. Biologists and mule deer conservation groups trying to restore Colorado’s mule deer? Check. License agents? Check. And so on.
Odle was sentenced to pay around $11,000 in fines (plus a $5,500 reimbursement to hunters he cheated by pretending to be a legal guide) and, pending a hearing, may lose his hunting and fishing privileges for life in this and 42 other states.
That he escaped jail time for potential felony charges is a pity since he deserves some time alone. Not that he would likely spend it thinking of where he went wrong, but sticking a felony charge (and its restrictions on owning firearms) on his record would insure he wouldn’t be able to hunt again.
The finding of the 14th Judicial District Court in Moffat County comes as good news because getting convictions on wildlife crimes has never been easy. Especially so in metropolitan areas where courts have backed-up dockets filled with horrific civil cases needing adjudication.
However, rural judges and attorneys have long had a better understanding of what wildlife means to the people of the state and have pursued convictions citing the crimes. I don’t know any over-worked wildlife officer eager to spend time testifying in court when that could be spent teaching the positive aspects of wildlife management, but here it was time well spent.
The Western Colorado Area office of the Bureau of Reclamation announced today (Friday, June 16) that the spring peak-flow operations on the Gunnison River have ended. “Due to an issue with the power plant at Crystal Dam, the ramp down was forced to end prematurely,” the announcement said. A BuRec official said the power plan “tripped offline” and as of late Friday the plant still was awaiting an inspection.
Initially the BuRec had planned to continue ramping the peak flows through Monday but the loss of the power plant meant river flows dropped to their previously set post-peak level.
“As of today (June 16) releases are being made through the bypass gates at a rate of 2,150 cfs. This has put flows in the Gunnison River through the Black Canyon around 1,150 cfs,” Friday’s announcement said. The Gunnison Tunnel, which carries water from the Gunnison River to the Uncompahgre Valley, currently is taking about 1,000 cfs.
According to the Bureau, the releases will continue at this rate “for the foreseeable future,” with further adjustments possible depending on runoff into Blue Mesa Reservoir.
As of Thursday, Blue Mesa was at an elevation of 7,501.88 feet, which puts it at 81.6 percent of full pool and 18 feet below full pool (7,520 feet elevation).
Unless something unexpected happens to the current runoff forecast, Bureau officials it is expected the reservoir will fill this summer.
Water news from the Front Range today is focused on the approval of the Record of Decision for the Windy Gap Firming Project, which features construction of the proposed Chimney Hollow Reservoir, a 90,000 acre-foot impoundment north of Denver that will be filled with water from the Colorado River.
The reservoir will provide water for cities within the Northern Colorado Metropolitan Water District.
A blog post from Coyote Gulch gives the details plus links to various sources.
The most-recent Hutchins Water Center report was sent out today from the Water Center at Colorado Mesa University. Among the topics covered is the latest Blue Mesa runoff forecast from the Bureau of Reclamation reported earlier this week.
The May 15 forecast is for 825,000 acre feet of unregulated inflow into Blue Mesa, amounting to 122 percent of the 30-year average and down a bit from the forecast two weeks earlier.
As expected, the latest forecast is down considerably from the Feb. 15 forecast of 970,000 acre feet, which illustrates the difficulty of making long-range forecasts when dealing with something as variable as the weather.
As one hydrologist told me at the Water Center meeting earlier this week, “I’ve been doing this for 36 years and this year is the craziest I’ve seen.”
Blue Mesa currently is 87 percent of full and there still is a good chance it could fill this spring, especially if the current round of wet spring storms continues in the upper Gunnison Basin.
What the new forecast does is moves the water-year classification for the runoff from “Moderately Wet” to “Average Wet,” in turn reducing flow targets to benefit endangered fish in the 19-mile reach of the Gunnison River downstream of Palisade.
Also changed are the peak flows to meet the Black Canyon Water Right and the flushing flows needed to keep the river channel clear through the canyon. Crystal Dam was expected to start spilling May 18 and peak sometime on the 23rd or 24th, with estimated peak flows through the Black Canyon reaching the 10,800 to 12,000 cfs range.
You can find a schedule of flows below the Gunnison Tunnel here.